RESEARCH
AUTHORITARIAN POLITICS

Book: Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and Its Demise in Mexico (2006, Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics, Cambridge University Press)

This book provides a theory of the logic of survival of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), one of the most resilient autocratic regimes in the twentieth century. An autocratic regime hid behind the facade of elections that were held with clockwise precision. Although their outcome was totally predictable, elections were not hollow rituals. The PRI made millions of ordinary citizens vest their interests in the survival of the autocratic regime. Voters could not simply throw the "rascals out of office" because their choices were constrained by a series of strategic dilemmas that compelled them to support the autocrats. The book also explores the factors that led to the demise of the PRI. The theory sheds light on the logic of "electoral autocracies," among the most common type of autocracy today, and the factors that lead to the transformation of autocratic elections into democratic ones.

Winner of the Leon D. Epstein Outstanding Book Award for the best book written in the previous two years on parties and elections and the Best Book Award from the American Political Science Association’s Comparative Democratization Section. The dissertation upon which this book is based also won the Gabriel Almond Award for the Best Dissertation in Comparative Politics.

Available at Cambridge University Press and Amazon.



JOURNAL ARTICLES
"Authoritarian survival and poverty traps: Land reform in Mexico." World Development 77 (2016): 154-170 (with Michael Albertus, Alberto Diaz-Cayeros, and Barry R. Weingast).
"Political order and one-party rule." Annual Review of Political Science 13 (2010): 123-143 (with Ruth Kricheli).
"Credible power-sharing and the longevity of authoritarian rule." Comparative Political Studies 41, no. 4-5 (2008): 715-741.
"The game of electoral fraud and the ousting of authoritarian rule." American Journal of Political Science 54, no. 3 (2010): 751-765.
"Party dominance and the logic of electoral design in Mexico’s transition to democracy." Journal of Theoretical Politics 13, no. 3 (2001): 271-293 (with Alberto Diaz-Cayeros).
Legislatures and Policy Making in Authoritarian Regimes, with Scott Williamson, Comparative Political Studies, 2020


WORKING PAPERS
"Taking to the Streets: Protest and Regime Survival" with Francisco Garfias.
"Taking to the Streets: Theory and Evidence of Protest under Authoritarianism" with Ruth Kritcheli and Yair Livine
"Tragic Brilliance: Equilibrium Hegemony and Democratization in Mexico" with Barry Weingast and Alberto Diaz-Cayeros